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Enterprise hits and misses - AI adoption gets scrutinized, enterprise tech faces the headwinds, and ChatGTP freaks people out

Jon Reed Profile picture for user jreed December 12, 2022
Summary:
This week - AI adoption hits higher levels, but has ethics kept up? Enterprise vendors face the economic headwinds, with mixed results. ChatGPT provokes AI hyperbole, but the threat may be real. I concede an interesting blockchain use case, and go viral for the wrong reasons.

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Lead story - AI adoption and ethics - and end of year gut check

Views on AI adoption are all over the map. I recently heard backchannel talk about how AI isn't being adopted by lines of business. As Derek writes, McKinsey's data says different: McKinsey - AI adoption is leveling off, but AI leaders are pulling ahead. However, the data is a mixed bag:

Since the first survey was done in 2017, McKinsey has seen AI adoption increase from 20 percent of respondents to approximately 50 percent. However, adoption peaked in 2019 at 58 percent and has since leveled off.

We can debate the definition of AI till the cows come home. I suspect many of the top use cases wouldn't reach my "intelligent" threshold for AI, but, what are those top use cases? Derek:

Of the capabilities used, some 39% said that they’re using RPA in at least one business process or product, the highest performing. This is closely followed by computer vision (38%), natural language text understanding (33%), virtual agents (33%), deep learning (30% and knowledge graphs (25%). The capabilities with the lowest penetration at the moment are transfer learning (16%), generative adversarial networks (11%), and transformers (11%).

Where is the value coming from? Derek quotes McKinsey:

Today, the biggest reported revenue effects are found in marketing and sales, product and service development, and strategy and corporate finance, and respondents report the highest cost benefits from AI in supply chain management.

The bottom-line value realized from AI remains strong and largely consistent. About a quarter of respondents report this year that at least 5 percent of their organizations’ EBIT was attributable to AI in 2021.

That matches my take. AI has a decent level of enterprise adoption, and some metrics that justify its value. This, dear reader, is why I'm so comparatively hostile to Metaverse, blockchain, and other areas where the hype machine is so far ahead of adoption and ROI. But AI has other problems: many of the use cases, operating at scale, are arguably controversial or even detrimental. Neil Raden has documented many of these problems via his diginomica articles.

In sum: our ethics (and our regulations) need to, somehow catch up with our live AI use cases. Ask San Francisco about that: San Francisco killer police robots policy halted after backlash.  Neil has tackled AI ethics frequently, as has Chris, who filed a new one this week: AI - where do ethics stop, and regulations begin?  Chris shared a provocative quote from the Director of the UK's Ada Lovelace Institute:

Our public research shows again and again that people would like to see more regulation, even if it comes at the cost of innovation and more products.

That brings things to a head, eh? I'd suggest that's where the 2023 conversation on AI should begin.

Diginomica picks - my top stories on diginomica this week

Vendor analysis, diginomica style. Here's my three top choices from our vendor coverage:

A few more vendor picks, without the quotables:

Jon's grab bag - Neil does some digital twins hype-busting in Digital twins have their place - but is healthcare one of them? The space economy may not be as futuristic as we think. That's the message from both Chris (Why UK space tech is now ready for take-off) and Neil (The space economy matters - an enterprise view on space as the International Space Station heads towards de-orbit).

Finally, if you'd like a bit of satirical spleen vent after the tech predictions deluge, join Brian Sommer and I for this annual tradition: the un-predictions (The 2023 enterprise software un-predictions). There's a little something for everyone here, but readers enjoyed the digital hug that got me into trouble, "quiet answering," and "decomposable apps."

Best of the enterprise web

Waiter suggesting a bottle of wine to a customer

My top seven

Overworked businessman

Whiffs

Yeah, all I need to hear next to me on a plane is some sales hunter pressing the issue with a prospect:

Oh, and this happened:

One of my least interesting tweets of the week went kinda viral:

I guess data remains a conundrum, and peeps don't care for the tech predictions barrage... But as for AI taking our content jobs, I'll leave you with my upbeat thoughts on that:

This may be the last hits/misses of the year - unless I do a year-end edition. Thanks for the readership and spicy comments - see you on the other side. If you find an #ensw piece that qualifies for hits and misses - in a good or bad way - let me know in the comments as Clive (almost) always does. Most Enterprise hits and misses articles are selected from my curated @jonerpnewsfeed.

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